After the situation’s evaluation according to the above mentioned criteria, you should make an important decision: to continue playing or to pass. Knowing the number of your outs, you should calculate how many percent are your hand’s winning chances and how many percent of the pot will be your call. Then you should compare the results. In case you need to put into the pot more than your winning chances, you should fold, otherwise you should call or even raise (in case your winning chances are more than 50 %). For example:
Let’s say that in the above mentioned example the pot is $ 200. This means that you have roughly 31% winning chances:
3 × 9 + 2 × 2 = 31 % (see the calculations above)
The first scenario: your opponent places a bet of $ 150. What do you need to do?
The pot now is $ 350 and if you call, you need to place $ 150 i.e. 3 against 7. This means that your call will be 30 % of the pot and if you have 31 % winning chances, you can call since your winning chances are bigger (not much but bigger anyway). In other words, you should call – you have positive expectations.
The second scenario: your opponent places a bet of $ 200. What do you need to do?
In this case the pot is $ 400 and if you call, you need to place $ 200 into the pot i.e. 1 against 2. This means that your call will be 33 % of the pot and if your winning chances are 31 %, you have negative expectations, therefore you should not call. The best decision in this case is to fold.